Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 0.238043 0.268688 0.301182 0.338140 0.378947 0.422562 0.472640
2025-08-10 0.201937 0.244209 0.291658 0.348644 0.414990 0.489552 0.579436
2025-08-17 0.169930 0.218366 0.275506 0.347410 0.434957 0.537543 0.666250
2025-08-24 0.146166 0.198398 0.262814 0.347280 0.454204 0.584067 0.752615
2025-08-31 0.127163 0.181528 0.251349 0.346367 0.470894 0.626990 0.835664
2025-09-07 0.114791 0.171499 0.247029 0.353255 0.496774 0.681677 0.935232
2025-09-14 0.102283 0.159648 0.238753 0.353523 0.513064 0.723903 1.019875
2025-09-21 0.091825 0.149395 0.231421 0.353932 0.528771 0.765274 1.104423
2025-09-28 0.082952 0.140409 0.224855 0.354466 0.544027 0.806031 1.189176
2025-10-05 0.076507 0.134364 0.221876 0.359595 0.565561 0.855841 1.287870
2025-10-12 0.071883 0.130650 0.221930 0.368916 0.593257 0.915062 1.401659
2025-10-19 0.066457 0.125038 0.218484 0.372439 0.612186 0.962104 1.499467
2025-10-26 0.062060 0.120909 0.217323 0.379823 0.637954 1.021176 1.618666
2025-11-02 0.058653 0.118136 0.218090 0.390201 0.668730 1.088838 1.753085
2025-11-09 0.053298 0.111326 0.211558 0.388186 0.679778 1.127082 1.844932
2025-11-16 0.048775 0.105546 0.206252 0.387694 0.692976 1.168839 1.943313
2025-11-23 0.044612 0.099986 0.200826 0.386503 0.704740 1.208542 2.039650
2025-11-30 0.042130 0.097427 0.200505 0.393974 0.730982 1.271761 2.174410
2025-12-07 0.038870 0.092949 0.196289 0.394214 0.744903 1.315640 2.280017
2025-12-14 0.035938 0.088823 0.192368 0.394635 0.758969 1.360040 2.387663
2025-12-21 0.033291 0.085006 0.188706 0.395206 0.773157 1.404941 2.497332
2025-12-28 0.031439 0.082723 0.187830 0.400831 0.796363 1.465417 2.634047
2026-01-04 0.030209 0.081706 0.189375 0.411060 0.828134 1.541186 2.798045